Prospect Guide2026-01-14T00:00:007 min read

2025 Bowman Draft: Which Prospects to Chase (And Which to Skip)

2025 Bowman Draft releases today with Eli Willits, JoJo Parker & more. Our complete guide covers chase cards, box value, and prospect tiers.

Quick Answer: Tier 1 prospects: Eli Willits (No. 1), JoJo Parker, Billy Carlson, Steele Hall. Chase the Chrome 1st Autos. Hobby boxes ($520) include 3 autos. Notable absences: Ethan Holliday and Aiva Arquette held for 2026 products.

What's in the Box?

Topps has structured this release with three configurations, including a brand-new mega box format designed for collectors priced out of hobby:

Format Price Autos Best For
Hobby Box $519.99 3 Serious prospectors chasing Chrome autos
Super Jumbo $739.99 5 Breakers and high-volume collectors
Mega Box $59.99 0 (2 Mega Chrome packs) Budget entry, exclusive parallels

The mega box is the story here. At $59.99, it's Topps' answer to collectors complaining about the hobby price barrier. You won't pull autos, but the exclusive Mega Chrome parallels could hold value if you hit the right prospect.

The Checklist Breakdown

The base set runs 200 cards on chromium technology:

  • 120 cards featuring 2025 MLB Draft Picks
  • 80 cards highlighting top minor league prospects

Every hobby box guarantees three autographs. The Chrome Prospect Autographs are the crown jewels—on-card signatures with parallels ranging from base to the coveted 1/1 Superfractor.

Tier 1 Chases: The Headliners

These are the prospects commanding premium prices. If you're breaking a hobby box, these are the names that'll determine your ROI.

Eli Willits

No. 1 - Washington Nationals
Tier 1

The consensus top pick didn't disappoint. Willits combines plus raw power with an advanced approach at the plate. As the No. 1 overall selection, his Chrome Auto will be the most sought-after card in the product.

Card to chase: Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Price expectation: $150-400 base, $2,000+ for low-numbered parallels

JoJo Parker

No. 8 - Toronto Blue Jays
Tier 1

Parker's bat speed and power potential make him a favorite among prospectors. The Blue Jays' system is loaded, but Parker has the tools to rise quickly.

Card to chase: Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Price expectation: $75-200 base

Billy Carlson

No. 10 - Chicago White Sox
Tier 1

The White Sox rebuild got a shot of hope with Carlson. In a thin system, he'll get every opportunity to fast-track through the minors.

Card to chase: Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Price expectation: $60-150 base

Steele Hall

No. 9 - Cincinnati Reds
Tier 1

Hall was considered one of the better athletes in the entire draft class. Elite tools across the board. The Reds have developed young talent well recently, and Hall fits their mold.

Card to chase: Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Price expectation: $70-175 base

Tier 2: Strong Upside Plays

These prospects offer legitimate MLB upside at more accessible price points.

Gavin Fien

No. 12 - Texas Rangers

One of the most complete high school players in the class. The Rangers have shown patience with young talent, and Fien's well-rounded game should translate.

Tyler Bremner

No. 2 - Los Angeles Angels

The second overall pick brings arm strength and projection. The Angels desperately need pitching prospects to pan out.

Kade Anderson

No. 3 - Seattle Mariners

Another arm with high upside landing in a system that's produced quality starters recently.

Liam Doyle

No. 5 - St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals' track record of developing homegrown talent makes Doyle an intriguing speculative buy.

Seth Hernandez

No. 6 - Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh has a history of getting value from draft picks. Hernandez has the tools if the development matches.

Who's NOT in This Set?

This might be the most important section for prospectors planning ahead.

Ethan Holliday (No. 4 - Colorado Rockies)

Highest-profile prep position player in the class. Being held for 2026 Bowman products.

Aiva Arquette (No. 7 - Miami Marlins)

Large-bodied shortstop who could move quickly through the system. Also held for 2026.

If you're prospecting for 2026, keep these names on your radar. Their Bowman 1sts will command significant premiums.

The Wildcards: Special Inserts

Beyond the prospect autos, 2025 Bowman Draft includes some unique chase cards:

Sadaharu Oh Retrofractor Auto

The Japanese legend's autograph on a retrofractor is the kind of crossover card that appeals to both baseball card collectors and international sports fans. Extremely limited and valuable.

Dan Marino Dream Draft Picks

The Kansas City Royals selected NFL Hall of Famer Dan Marino in the fourth round of the 1979 MLB Draft. He chose football (good call), but Topps created a "what if" card for collectors. Both insert and autographed versions exist.

Draft Lottery Ping Pong Ball Autographs

A creative concept featuring autographs on replica draft lottery ping pong balls. Unique and potentially undervalued if you're looking for something different.

The Mega Box Strategy

Can't stomach $520 for a hobby box? The mega box might be your move.

At $59.99, you're getting two exclusive Mega Chrome packs with parallels you can't pull anywhere else. No autographs, but if you hit a Tier 1 prospect in a desirable parallel, the value is there.

The Play:

Buy 2-3 mega boxes instead of one hobby. You'll pull more base cards to build your prospect collection, and the exclusive parallels add speculative value without the break-or-bust feeling of hobby.

Building Your Prospect Collection Without Breaking

Here's the reality of Bowman Draft in 2025: hobby boxes are expensive, breaks are a gamble, and most collectors walk away disappointed.

The math rarely works in your favor. That viral video of someone pulling a Superfractor? For every one of those, there are hundreds of collectors who paid $500+ and pulled $50 worth of cards.

This is where player lots make sense for prospect collectors. Instead of gambling on random pulls, you can target the specific prospects you believe in. Want to build a JoJo Parker PC? A Billy Carlson collection? Player lots let you acquire multiple cards of your target players at fixed prices.

No auction wars. No break fees. No hoping the randomizer lands on your team.

The Verdict

2025 Bowman Draft delivers a solid prospect class with clear tier separation. Eli Willits is the headliner, but the depth of Tier 1 and Tier 2 options gives collectors multiple paths to value.

If you're buying hobby:

Focus on the Tier 1 names. The Chrome Autos of Willits, Parker, Carlson, and Hall will hold value best.

If you're on a budget:

Mega boxes offer an entry point, or skip the gambling entirely and build through player lots targeting your favorite prospects.

If you're thinking long-term:

Remember that Ethan Holliday and Aiva Arquette are being held for 2026. Position yourself early.

The prospect game rewards patience and strategy. Whether you're ripping packs today or building your collection card by card, know your targets and stick to your budget.

Good luck out there, prospectors.

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